Here are the facts — I’m waiting for your reaction!

Dear friend of Health,

For a few weeks now, our dear media have been telling us about the marvelous wonders going on with the mass vaccinations in Israel.

On February 15, for example:

“Covid-19: the Pfizer vaccine 94% effective, acc. to Israeli study”

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Or even more recently, February 20:

 

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In this last “study”, we even trumpet, hold on tight:

”  A vaccine 98.9% effective in preventing death  ”

If that were true, that would be great!

But you know me, I do not stop at the headlines.

Especially when these headlines are based on studies done by people with blatant conflicts of interest: the Israeli authorities and Pfizer:

• For Pfizer, if the Israeli experience is disappointing, it is a shortfall of at least 15 billion euros (its vaccine turnover expected for 2021)!

• For the Israeli authorities, a few weeks before the elections, it is crucial to show that the vaccination plan is a resounding success, rather than a failure.

Let us never forget this capital truth from demographer Alfred Sauvy:

”  The figures are fragile beings who, by dint of being tortured, end up confessing everything we want them to say  “.

So let’s look at the facts, calmly.

Look at these graphics – do you see resounding success?

If the vaccine was really this spectacularly effective, it should look like a nose in the middle of the face.

I remind you that Israel is the country that has vaccinated the most widely, by far.

Generalized vaccination began in mid-December, more than 2 months ago.

Today, about 90% of those over 70 have been fully immunized, with 2 doses.

So almost all of those over 70 are supposed to be “protected” (for over a month for most).

This is important, because I remind you that 90% of the deaths from Covid-19 are over 70 years old.

So :

• If 90% of those over 70 are vaccinated;

• If 90% of those over 70 are vaccinated;

• well we should see a drastic drop in the death toll!

If the vaccine was effective, there should be virtually no more deaths in Israel.

It’s mathematical: with a vaccine that is supposedly 98% effective against mortality, there should be around 80% fewer deaths (98% x 90% x 90%).

Now – and I appeal to your sagacity – tell me if you see this drastic drop in the number of deaths in Israel.

Here curve dead of Covid-19 in Israel from the 1 ^st December (remember that vaccination began on 19 December)

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Note first that, for a month and a half after the start of the vaccination, the mortality has not stopped increasing, despite strict confinement throughout the month of January.

Then, in early February, mortality finally began to decline sharply.

But is this decrease due to vaccines?

Or to the natural dynamics of the epidemic?

To be sure, let’s look at the development in countries that have not or little vaccinated, over the same period.

Here is the evolution of the death toll in South Africa (you know, this country where the South African variant “terrrrrible” reigns):

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Here, mortality drops in about the same way, at the same time.

Here is Portugal , which vaccinated 10 times less than Israel:

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Or Sweden , which has never confined (and very little vaccinated):

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See how similar the curves are?

There is no obvious difference between Israel and those countries which have not or little vaccinated!

And what about Israel’s neighbors?

Here is the mortality curve in PALESTINE (without vaccine), just next to Israel:

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And in LEBANON (without vaccine either):

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In Lebanon as in Israel, mortality increased in January… to decline in February.

It is therefore very difficult to say that vaccines are the cause of the decline in mortality in Israel.

What is happening in the United Arab Emirates is even more disturbing.

The Emirates are the second country in the world to have massively vaccinated its population, far ahead of the United Kingdom (which is on the third step of the vaccination “podium”):

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The Emirates have already administered 5 million doses, for 10 million inhabitants.

And the result on mortality is … how to say:

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Mortality has not stopped increasing since the launch of the vaccination program (January 5)!

Same strange phenomenon in Gibraltar, a small British territory which vaccinated even more massively than Israel: while there were only 10 Covid deaths in total in 2020, Gibraltar deplored 44 Covid deaths in two weeks, in the midst of the vaccination campaign [1].

Here is my conclusion – and you?

Warning: I am not saying these curves are proof, one way or another.

I’m just saying three things:

First, it should be obvious to everyone that the decline in mortality in Israel is not necessarily vaccine-related – just look at all the unvaccinated countries where mortality is declining at the same time and at the same rate .

Second, on the contrary, it is very strange that we do not observe a drastic drop in mortality in Israel – if the vaccine was as effective as it is claimed, it should be clearly visible. However, this is absolutely not the case.

Third, we must therefore remain very careful about the headlines, which trumpet the effectiveness of the vaccine on the basis of questionable statistical calculations, made by people who have every interest in telling you that it works.

Again, I’m not saying the vaccine doesn’t work at all. He must necessarily walk a little!

Even though I have limited confidence in the clinical trials carried out [2], I cannot imagine that we can go from 90% of declared efficacy to 0%!

What I am saying is that the effectiveness of mass vaccination on mortality is not at all obvious at this stage.

This was to be expected [3], because it has long been known that no vaccine works on the most fragile people over the age of 75, and therefore those most at risk of dying from Covid-19.

If you add the following to this:

• These vaccines cause 10 times more adverse effects than the flu vaccine [4] – and in rare cases, they seem to kill frail people: is it a coincidence that the dean of Saône et Loire (110 years) [ 5] and the oldest Bretons (108 years old) [6], both in good shape, died within 5 days of their vaccination?

• The variants will inevitably make the vaccines ineffective [7]  : the current vaccines do not even protect against the South African variant, and new variants escaping the vaccines will necessarily appear under the effect of mass vaccination.

So, does it still make sense to be vaccinated, knowing that:

• With collective immunity, the epidemic will have largely disappeared at the end of winter, and the risk of being infected will therefore now be very low;

• With good vitamin D levels, and taking ivermectin at the first symptoms, the likelihood of surviving infection is close to 100%, even for those at risk?

What do you think ?

Thank you for telling me, commenting on this article  !

Healthy,

Xavier Bazin

PS: I always prefer to look at the mortality figures, because they are more relevant and less biased than the contamination rates.

But if we look at the number of positive cases per inhabitants, the situation is not glorious either for Israel, compared to the other countries already mentioned.

Will you be able to recognize, at a glance, which curve is that of Israel, which massively vaccinated?

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Could this be one of the two curves which make a very clear peak, followed by a sudden drop in contamination?

Well no.

These curves are those of Ireland and Portugal.

The Israeli curve, in red, looks more like that of its Lebanese neighbor, which has not vaccinated:

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And if you’re still in doubt, look at the hospitalization curve .

Again, when we compare Israel to countries of comparable size, we do not see a big difference in the evolution of the number of hospitalizations:

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Again, if the vaccine worked at 90%, this should show clearly on the case, hospitalization and death curve!

However, it is not the case.

But maybe I am having trouble? Tell me what you think, in the comments .

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