I have been studying the forthcoming collapse of the USA for 25 years and publishing books and articles on this subject for the last 15, with good results: CCCP 2.0 is developing quite nicely.

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The 30-year reprieve which the US was granted thanks to the collapse of the USSR has now expired, every effort at imperial expansion since then (Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Libya and the “suicide belt” of Eastern Europe) has been a total failure.

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Meanwhile a reborn Russia, backed by much of the rest of Eurasia, is now turning the tables and ordering the US around in perfectly undiplomatic terms.

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And now this: Barbara Water of US San Diego recently appeared on CNN to explain that the US is now in a zone of high risk for political violence and civil war.

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[https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10329219/CIA-advisor-expert-foreign-conflicts-believes-closer-civil-war-thought-possible.html]

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And what this means is that the US has finally achieved Total Collapse Preparedness.

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Let us look into the details of this.

Barbara has studied political instability for 30 years, most recently as part of a CIA task force (which has granted her access to datasets such as the “Polity” dataset, which the rest of us only sometimes get to hear about).

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Her appraisal is not based on some impressionistic sense of animal spirits but on specific metrics refined by applying them to politically unstable countries around the world. And according to her, the US is now at a high risk of civil war, political instability and political violence. .

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It is now, she says borrowing a phrase from Fareed Zakaria, an “illiberal democracy.”

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Another term she uses is “anocracy,” which can be defined as a form of government that is part democracy and part dictatorship, or as a regime that mixes democratic with autocratic features.

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“‘We are closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe,” states Barbara in no uncertain terms.

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In my work I have divided collapse into five distinct stages or phases, which can fully or partially overlap, occur out of synch or even get ahead of the others based on local circumstances.

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They are: financial, commercial, political, social and cultural.

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This taxonomy offers a good way to make sense of the whole huge mess and to gauge progress.

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• In the case of the US, financial collapse is developing nicely; nobody knows which particular straw of government debt will break the camel’s back, but we can be sure that this moment will come.

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We also know what will happen after that: loss of access to imported products and resources, economic shutdown and political dissolution.

• Commercial collapse is also coming right along. The trend was to replace a diversity of local commerce with one or a few big box stores (in the end, usually just a Walmart) which suck all the wealth out of the local community and ship it to East Asia, after which point the Walmart shuts down, leaving a vacant shell and an empty parking lot. What is left (for those who still have some money left) is online commerce, but then it turns out that a lot of the items are on backorder or simply not available.

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• Social and cultural collapse, in the context of the US, are a special case. Most of the socializing has been subsumed by social media (mediated, that is, by privately owned companies). These social media companies profit by selling data on their users, and once those data become worthless (because the users are broke) the artificially constituted society dissolves. Similarly, culture has been reduced to a set of commercial cultural services, and once the commerce is gone, so is the culture. The final result is a population of mental inadequates who are stuck among strangers and can’t properly communicate or make common cause with anyone but are heavily armed (with lots of mostly Russian-made ammunition—in spite of trade sanctions!)

• And now political collapse is pulling up alongside. According to Barbara, one of the telltale signs of looming political instability is the rise of ethnic entrepreneurship.

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In the US, examples include BLM, Antifa, Qanon and the Proud Boys. LGBTQ+, though not exactly ethnic, qualifies as a politically divisive force; on the other side of the expanding political no man’s land, mined and strafed by bullets, they are referred to as Sodomites, and that, in case you are sketchy on your Bible, is not a term of endearment.

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Various other “dens of iniquity,” be they West Coast Devil-worshipers or East Coast elite pedophile rings, are in the same category, and seem likely to get their own dose of fire and brimstone.

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As we head into 2022, the US stands poised to achieve Total Collapse Preparedness. The financial markets are rigged to perfection and ready to blow; commerce has entered logistical failure mode; society has been reduced to a set of social media silos; culture is an ephemeral commercial product; and now the political realm is ready to embrace the principle of one bullet—one vote.

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It is no surprise, then, that the Russians, fully backed by the Chinese, are making their list of non-negotiable demands and checking it twice: get your nukes back on your own territory; stop sailing or flying anywhere close to Russia; get your weapons and your troops out of the East European “suicide belt”; and make sure there’s someone sitting by the phone 24/7 in case we have more instructions.

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The Russians are probably looking at that same CIA dataset Barbara has been studying and seeing the same thing:

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US collapse is finally here. This is not a drill! Hence the rush to get the paperwork signed before the shooting starts. They really want to get all of the security arrangements squared away before celebrating the New Year and then go and enjoy their winter vacation in peace and tranquility.